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28 Lesson 28 of 62 · Advanced methods

THE ICHIMOKU CLOUD.

Education Advanced methods ~18 min read Updated 29 September 2026
The short answer

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo is five lines plotted from three midpoint calculations, published by Goichi Hosoda in 1969. Two of them are shifted forward 26 periods to form the Kumo (cloud). The cloud shows where support and resistance are likely to sit in the future. Price above the cloud = uptrend. Price below = downtrend. Price inside = no trade. Every signal is a confirmation of one of those three states.

Why Ichimoku earns its place

Most indicators answer one question. Ichimoku answers four at once: what is the trend, where is momentum, where is support, and where was support 26 periods ago? It does all of that with five lines and no settings changes.

The projected cloud is the feature no other standard indicator has. You can see, today, where support will be in a month. That single feature makes Ichimoku worth the learning curve even if you never use the other four lines.

T
Written by the Trade To The Top team|Reviewed 29 September 2026
Ichimoku methodology cross-checked against Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (Goichi Hosoda, 1969), Trading with Ichimoku Clouds (Manesh Patel), Ichimoku Charts (Nicole Elliott), and the standard 9/26/52 settings used by TradingView, MetaTrader and ThinkOrSwim. The Hosoda number origin (working-day weeks in pre-1970 Japan) is verified against the published history. Crypto-adjusted settings (20/60/120) are noted as a modern adaptation.

Ichimoku was kept secret for nearly thirty years. Hosoda developed it in the 1930s, refined it with a team of analysts who calculated the lines by hand, and did not publish it until 1969. The result is the only major indicator designed as a complete system — not a signal, but a way of reading a chart end to end.

Key takeaways
In this lesson
Prerequisite Read Lesson 14 — Moving averages and Lesson 11 — Trend and market structure first. Ichimoku is built on midpoints, which are a different calculation from the averages you already know.

What Ichimoku actually is

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo is a single indicator that plots five lines derived from three midpoint calculations. It runs on fixed settings — 9, 26 and 52 periods — which Hosoda chose because of the Japanese working calendar of his era. A six-day working week made 9 periods 1.5 weeks, 26 periods one month, and 52 periods two months.

The system is designed to answer three questions in one glance:

Almost every Ichimoku signal you will read about is one of those three questions, expressed as a line relationship. The cloud is the frame. Everything else is fine-tuning.

Midpoints, not averages

Ichimoku's lines are midpoints, not moving averages. A 9-period midpoint is (highest high over 9 + lowest low over 9) / 2. A 9-period moving average is the average of the last 9 closes. They behave differently.

Midpoints are less reactive to a single large candle but more reactive to a new extreme. That matters for how the lines behave in trends. A moving average lags the price. A midpoint tracks the centre of the recent range — which is exactly what Ichimoku wants, because the whole system is about where price sits relative to its own recent range.

THE FIVE LINES · WHAT EACH ONE MEASURES
Conceptual view · Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou A, Senkou B, Chikou
NOW −26 +26 TENKAN 9 KIJUN 26 SENKOU A SENKOU B CHIKOU (SHIFTED BACK 26) FIVE LINES · TWO SHIFTED FORWARD 26 · ONE SHIFTED BACK 26
The five lines. Two Senkou spans form the cloud, plotted 26 periods ahead. Chikou is shifted 26 back.

The five lines

LineCalculationWhat it tells you
Tenkan-sen (conversion)Midpoint of the last 9 periodsShort-term momentum. Fastest line.
Kijun-sen (base)Midpoint of the last 26 periodsMedium-term equilibrium. Also a trailing stop line.
Senkou Span A (leading A)Midpoint of Tenkan and Kijun, plotted 26 forwardUpper edge of the cloud in an uptrend.
Senkou Span B (leading B)Midpoint of the last 52 periods, plotted 26 forwardLower edge of the cloud in an uptrend. Slowest line.
Chikou Span (lagging)Current close, plotted 26 periods backConfirms trend. Clear space = clean trend.

Three relationships matter:

Common mistake

Treating the colour of the cloud as a buy or sell signal. A green cloud does not mean buy. Senkou Span A is a fast line, Span B is slow. A brief rally can flip the colour without changing anything meaningful about the trend. Read the cloud by where price is relative to it — above, below, or inside — not by its colour.

The Kumo (cloud)

The cloud is the space between Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B. Both spans are shifted 26 periods into the future. The result is a projected support and resistance band that extends 26 candles to the right of the current candle.

The cloud has three properties:

The projected cloud is the single most useful feature of Ichimoku. You can see, today, where the cloud will be supporting price in one month. No other standard indicator gives you that.

THE CLOUD AS FUTURE SUPPORT · PROJECTED 26 PERIODS
Thick rising cloud below price · a future support zone you can see today
NOW PROJECTED THICK RISING CLOUD FUTURE SUPPORT ZONE THE CLOUD TODAY SHOWS WHERE SUPPORT WILL BE IN 26 PERIODS
The projected cloud. A thick rising cloud tells you where support is likely to sit in the future. No other standard indicator does this.

The three states

Before you look at any signal, you read the state. There are only three.

Above the cloud
TrendBULLISH
BiasLONG ONLY
Entry zonePullback to cloud
BUY DIPS Trade with the trend
Inside the cloud
TrendNEUTRAL
BiasNONE
Entry zoneNONE
STAND ASIDE Wait for a break

Below the cloud is the mirror of above — downtrend, short only, sell rallies. The three-state read is the single rule that keeps Ichimoku honest. If price is inside the cloud, there is no signal. Wait.

THE THREE ICHIMOKU STATES · UPTREND, RANGE, DOWNTREND
Three panels · price above, inside and below the cloud
ABOVE UPTREND PRICE ABOVE INSIDE RANGE PRICE INSIDE STAND ASIDE BELOW DOWNTREND PRICE BELOW ONE READ DECIDES THE BIAS · ABOVE, INSIDE, BELOW
Three states. Above the cloud, trade long. Below, trade short. Inside, do nothing.

The three classic signals

Ichimoku traders watch three setups. They work best in the order they appear below.

The three signals, in order of quality
01
Cloud break — highest quality. Price closes decisively above (bullish) or below (bearish) the entire cloud. This is a trend-change signal. The thicker the cloud being broken, the stronger the signal. Best traded with a retest.
02
TK cross — medium quality. Tenkan crosses Kijun. Bullish cross is a short-term momentum signal. Bearish cross is the mirror. Only matters when price is on the correct side of the cloud. A TK cross inside the cloud is noise. Filtered by the cloud.
03
Chikou clearance — confirmation only. The lagging span is above all price action 26 periods ago (bullish) or below all of it (bearish). This is a confirmation of the trend, not an entry. Use as a filter, not a signal.
CLOUD BREAK + TK CROSS + CHIKOU CLEARANCE
Twenty-two continuous candles · bullish cloud break, then TK cross confirmation
A bullish cloud break on EURUSD 4H, confirmed by a Tenkan-Kijun cross and a clear Chikou spanFifty-six visible bars with ninety bars of off-screen history, so all five Ichimoku lines are fully formed. Price trades below a flat cloud, breaks up through it, the Tenkan crosses the Kijun, and the Chikou span clears the price action of twenty-six bars ago.1.07501.0800EURUSD · H456 BARSTENKANKIJUNCLOUD BREAKCHIKOU CLEAR OF OLD PRICE
The classic sequence. Cloud break first, then TK cross as confirmation. Both must agree for a clean signal.
Above the cloud, you are long. Below the cloud, you are short. Inside the cloud, you have no opinion.

How to trade it

The four-step Ichimoku read
01
Read the state. Where is price relative to the cloud? Above = long bias. Below = short bias. Inside = stand aside. This is the only step that decides direction.
02
Check the TK relationship. Tenkan above Kijun = short-term momentum up. Tenkan below = down. If the TK relationship agrees with the state, the trend is healthy. Disagreement is a warning.
03
Check Chikou clearance. Chikou above price 26 periods ago = bullish confirmation. Below = bearish. If Chikou is tangled in old price, the trend is not clean.
04
Enter on the pullback. Wait for price to pull back to the Tenkan, Kijun, or cloud edge. Enter on the rejection candle. Stop below the Kijun (long) or above it (short). Target the most recent swing high or the next cloud edge. Do not chase the breakout candle.
Worked example — the same signal, two cloud conditions
Instrument
EURUSD, H4
Cloud top (broken resistance)
1.0860
Kijun-sen at entry
1.0850
Entry (retest of cloud top)
1.0863
Stop (below Kijun)
1.0845
Target (measured move)
1.0935
Risk
18 pips
Reward
72 pips
R:R
4.00 : 1
Scenario A — The cloud being broken is thick, and Chikou clears price 26 back.
Thick cloud = strong resistance being broken. Chikou clearance = trend confirmed. Entry on the retest. Target hit.
Result: +72 pips, 4.00R winner.

Scenario B — The cloud is thin, and Chikou is tangled in old price.
Same entry, same stop, same target. Thin cloud offers no real resistance. Chikou tangle = no trend confirmation. Price reverses and stops out.
Result: −18 pips, 1R loser. SAME SIGNAL. DIFFERENT CLOUD. DIFFERENT OUTCOME.

Settings and timeframes

The standard settings are 9 / 26 / 52. Hosoda chose them for the Japanese working calendar of the 1930s. They have been in continuous use since 1969.

Modern traders sometimes adjust the settings:

MarketStandard settingsAlternative
Forex9 / 26 / 52No adjustment needed
Crypto20 / 60 / 120Doubles the periods to account for 24/7 trading
Stocks9 / 26 / 52No adjustment needed
Futures9 / 26 / 52Session-based charts sometimes use 9 / 26 / 52 still

Timeframe matters more than settings. Ichimoku works on H1 and above. On M15 and below, the cloud whips back and forth faster than it can be read. The best timeframes are H4 and Daily.

Common mistake

Changing the settings every time a signal fails. Ichimoku was designed with one set of numbers. If the standard settings are not working for you, the market is ranging, or the timeframe is wrong, or you are misreading the cloud. Changing 9/26/52 to something else does not fix any of those problems.

When this fails

When this fails
  1. Ranges. The cloud is flat, price oscillates in and out of it, and both signals whipsaw. If the cloud is flat, do not trade Ichimoku. Wait for the cloud to slope.
  2. Low timeframes. M15 and below produce constant cloud breaks that reverse immediately. Use H4 and above.
  3. Thin clouds. A cloud that is almost flat and thin offers no real support or resistance. Price passes through without reacting. The thickness of the cloud is the strength of the level.
  4. Ignoring the state. A TK cross above the cloud is a buy signal. The same cross inside the cloud is noise. If you are not reading the state first, you are not trading Ichimoku.

If you remember nothing else: state first, signals second.

Practical application

Four practical adjustments
01
Use H4 or Daily. Anything lower produces noise. Ichimoku was designed to show equilibrium, and equilibrium takes time. Higher timeframe, cleaner signal.
02
Read the state before anything else. Above, inside, below. Every other signal is a confirmation of that one read. No state, no opinion.
03
Combine with structure. The cloud edge often lines up with a prior support level or an order block. When it does, the setup is worth more. Confluence beats indicator stacking.
04
Do not change the settings. The 9/26/52 numbers are fixed on purpose. If they do not work, the market is wrong for the method — not the other way around. Fit the market to the method, not the method to the market.
In one box
Log your Ichimoku trades in R. Our free trading journal lets you tag entries by signal type — cloud break, TK cross, Chikou confirmation — so you can see which signal produces your best R-multiples over time.
Open journal →
CHECK YOUR UNDERSTANDING
5 questions · immediate feedback · retake any time
Question 01 of 05
Which two Ichimoku lines form the cloud?
Correct: C. The cloud (Kumo) is the area between Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B. Both spans are plotted 26 periods into the future.
Question 02 of 05
Price is trading inside the cloud. What is the correct reading?
Correct: A. Inside the cloud means no trend. The correct action is to stand aside and wait for price to close decisively above or below the cloud before choosing a bias.
Question 03 of 05
What does the Chikou Span measure?
Correct: B. The Chikou Span is the current candle's close, shifted 26 periods back. When it sits clear of old price, the trend is confirmed. When it is tangled in old price, the trend is not clean.
Question 04 of 05
Price breaks above a thick cloud on the H4, and the Tenkan crosses above the Kijun two candles later. What is the setup?
Correct: D. A thick cloud break with a confirming TK cross is one of the highest-quality Ichimoku signals. Entry is on the retest of the broken cloud edge, with a stop below the Kijun.
Question 05 of 05
The cloud colour flips from red to green without price moving above it. What does this mean?
Correct: C. Cloud colour is not a signal. Senkou Span A is a fast line, Span B is slow. A brief rally can flip the colour with no meaningful change in trend. Read the cloud by where price sits relative to it — not by its colour.

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