US Stock Index · 5-Year Backtest

US30
FVG RESEARCH.

Backtest Research · Hypothetical · Not a Live Track Record

Every figure on this page comes from a historical backtest — the model applied to past data with the benefit of hindsight. These are not live trading results, they were not achieved with real money, and no client account produced them. Backtests cannot fully reflect slippage, spread widening, gaps, liquidity or execution delay. Your results will differ and can be materially worse, including losses. Past and hypothetical performance is not indicative of future results.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average. US30 has the highest VIP expectancy in our portfolio at +1.04R per trade and the best profit factor at 3.20. Fewer signals, but the quality is exceptional — +150R VIP in 2022 while the index itself dropped 18%.

How it trades: New York session · every trade closed by 4pm NY · 6 targets (TP1–TP6)

LIVE results · published signals · not the backtest

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Performance summary · 5.3 years · 535 trades

535 TRADES.
+555R BACKTESTED.

535

Total Trades

51.0%

Win Rate

3.2

Profit Factor

-10R

Max Drawdown

2.21

Sharpe Ratio

3.72

Sortino Ratio

55.5x

Recovery Factor

5.3 yrs

Backtest Period

⭐ Apex VIP FVG — US30

+555R
IN 5 YEARS OF BACKTESTING.

You receive the signal on Telegram with 6 take profit levels. You choose when to close — TP2 for a quick win or ride to TP6 for the full move. VIP scores the highest TP hit.

+555R

Total R

+8.7R

R / Month

+1.04R

Expectancy

52/64

Pos Months (81%)

TP Hit Distribution

WHERE TRADES
END UP.

Out of 535 trades, 51.0% hit at least TP1. The distribution shows a healthy R-skew — 11.0% of trades run all the way to TP6 (+6R).

273

Wins (TP1–TP6)

252

Losses (SL)

+1.04R

Avg R / Trade (backtest)

Full Performance Breakdown

FULL BACKTEST.
EVERY METRIC.

Metric	Apex VIP FVG
Total Trades	535
Total R	+555R
R per Month	+8.7R
Annualized R	+105R/yr
Expectancy	+1.040R/trade
Win Rate	51.0%
Avg Win	+2.96R
Avg Loss	-1.00R
Profit Factor	3.2
Sharpe Ratio	2.21
Max Drawdown	-10R
Recovery Factor	55.5x
Max Win Streak	7 trades
Max Loss Streak	7 trades
Positive Months	52/64 (81%)

Data & Methodology

HOW WE
BACKTESTED US30.

Backtest Engine

Custom-built Python backtester, designed to match our TradingView indicator logic exactly. Every signal in this backtest would have been a real signal in live trading.

Data Source

Dukascopy (1-minute bars, bid prices). January 2021 through April 2026. 5.3 years of 1-minute candle data.

Execution

Optimized SL buffer applied per instrument. No slippage (limit orders at optimal entry points). No commission deducted. Results in R multiples, independent of lot size.

Scoring

Scoring computed independently on every trade. Same-bar ambiguities (TP1+SL on the same candle) scored as 0R — conservative by design.

Start trading US30

GET THE SIGNALS.
TRADE THE EDGE.

US30 is one of 8 instruments in our portfolio. Get all signals delivered to Telegram — or follow the systematic Quant signals.

⭐ Start VIP Free Trial — $69.99/mo 📊 Get Apex VIP Quant — $69.99/mo

⚠︎ Important: Past performance does not guarantee future results. The backtest results shown are hypothetical and do not represent actual trading. Real trading involves slippage, spreads, commissions, and execution delays that may affect results. Results are in R multiples, independent of lot size or account balance. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose. This is not financial advice.

⚠︎ RISK WARNING: Trading forex and CFDs carries significant risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The published stop-loss does not guarantee profits. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose. Trade To The Top provides signals for informational purposes only — not financial advice. © 2024–2026 TradeToTheTop.com

US30FVG RESEARCH.

535 TRADES.+555R BACKTESTED.

+555RIN 5 YEARS OF BACKTESTING.

WHERE TRADESEND UP.

FULL BACKTEST.EVERY METRIC.

HOW WEBACKTESTED US30.

GET THE SIGNALS.TRADE THE EDGE.

7 MORETO EXPLORE.