US Stock Index · 5-Year Backtest

US500
FVG RESEARCH.

Backtest Research · Hypothetical · Not a Live Track Record

Every figure on this page comes from a historical backtest — the model applied to past data with the benefit of hindsight. These are not live trading results, they were not achieved with real money, and no client account produced them. Backtests cannot fully reflect slippage, spread widening, gaps, liquidity or execution delay. Your results will differ and can be materially worse, including losses. Past and hypothetical performance is not indicative of future results.

The S&P 500 — the benchmark index. US500 generates the most signals in our portfolio (804 trades) and the highest total VIP R (+622R). The algo outperformed the S&P 500 itself every single year, including +147R VIP in 2022 when the index dropped 18%.

How it trades: New York session · every trade closed by 4pm NY · 6 targets (TP1–TP6)

LIVE results · published signals · not the backtest

Loading the live record…

← Back to All Results

Performance summary · 5.3 years · 804 trades

804 TRADES.
+622R BACKTESTED.

804

Total Trades

47.0%

Win Rate

2.50

Profit Factor

-10R

Max Drawdown

2.13

Sharpe Ratio

3.57

Sortino Ratio

62.2x

Recovery Factor

5.3 yrs

Backtest Period

⭐ Apex VIP FVG — US500

+622R
IN 5 YEARS OF BACKTESTING.

You receive the signal on Telegram with 6 take profit levels. You choose when to close — TP2 for a quick win or ride to TP6 for the full move. VIP scores the highest TP hit.

+622R

Total R

+9.7R

R / Month

+0.77R

Expectancy

55/64

Pos Months (86%)

TP Hit Distribution

WHERE TRADES
END UP.

Out of 804 trades, 47.0% hit at least TP1. The distribution shows a healthy R-skew — 7.3% of trades run all the way to TP6 (+6R).

378

Wins (TP1–TP6)

415

Losses (SL)

+0.77R

Avg R / Trade (backtest)

Full Performance Breakdown

FULL BACKTEST.
EVERY METRIC.

Metric	Apex VIP FVG
Total Trades	804
Total R	+622R
R per Month	+9.7R
Annualized R	+117R/yr
Expectancy	+0.770R/trade
Win Rate	47.0%
Avg Win	+2.55R
Avg Loss	-1.00R
Profit Factor	2.5
Sharpe Ratio	2.13
Max Drawdown	-10R
Recovery Factor	62.2x
Max Win Streak	8 trades
Max Loss Streak	10 trades
Positive Months	55/64 (86%)

Data & Methodology

HOW WE
BACKTESTED US500.

Backtest Engine

Custom-built Python backtester, designed to match our TradingView indicator logic exactly. Every signal in this backtest would have been a real signal in live trading.

Data Source

Dukascopy (1-minute bars, bid prices). January 2021 through April 2026. 5.3 years of 1-minute candle data.

Execution

Optimized SL buffer applied per instrument. No slippage (limit orders at optimal entry points). No commission deducted. Results in R multiples, independent of lot size.

Scoring

Scoring computed independently on every trade. Same-bar ambiguities (TP1+SL on the same candle) scored as 0R — conservative by design.

Start trading US500

GET THE SIGNALS.
TRADE THE EDGE.

US500 is one of 8 instruments in our portfolio. Get all signals delivered to Telegram — or follow the systematic Quant signals.

⭐ Start VIP Free Trial — $69.99/mo 📊 Get Apex VIP Quant — $69.99/mo

⚠︎ Important: Past performance does not guarantee future results. The backtest results shown are hypothetical and do not represent actual trading. Real trading involves slippage, spreads, commissions, and execution delays that may affect results. Results are in R multiples, independent of lot size or account balance. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose. This is not financial advice.

⚠︎ RISK WARNING: Trading forex and CFDs carries significant risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The published stop-loss does not guarantee profits. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose. Trade To The Top provides signals for informational purposes only — not financial advice. © 2024–2026 TradeToTheTop.com

US500FVG RESEARCH.

804 TRADES.+622R BACKTESTED.

+622RIN 5 YEARS OF BACKTESTING.

WHERE TRADESEND UP.

FULL BACKTEST.EVERY METRIC.

HOW WEBACKTESTED US500.

GET THE SIGNALS.TRADE THE EDGE.

7 MORETO EXPLORE.